Two things happened recently that reminded me of the saying “what goes around, comes around” but in a […]
hypecycle
Neville Hobson joined FIR host Shel Holtz for the August edition of The Hobson and Holtz Report on […]
IT Industry analysts Gartner announced its 2013 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies on August 19, with an assessment […]
In studying the latest hype cycle for emerging technologies chart, published last week by IT industry analysts Gartner, […]
Over the years, IT industry analysts Gartner have published annual ‘hype cycle‘ reports that assess where specific technologies […]
For the past few years, I’ve posted about Gartner’s hype cycles when the new series is published by […]
It’s that time of year when industry analysts Gartner publish their annual hype cycle report for emerging technologies. […]
Last month, IT industry analysts Gartner published their 2008 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies.
Here’s what it looks like:
What I find especially interesting is where on the hype cycle some of these technologies are, especially seeing their current and predicted positions along the Technology Trigger and cresting the Peak of Inflated Expectations.
What will languish in the Trough of Disillusionment, and what will emerge onto the Slope of Enlightenment?
Gartner’s own summary is this:
[…] “Although Web 2.0 is now entering the Trough of Disillusionment, it will emerge within two years to have transformational impact, as companies steadily gain more experience and success with both the technologies and the cultural implications,” said Jackie Fenn, vice president and Gartner Fellow. “Later – in between two and five years – cloud computing and service-oriented architecture (SOA), which is moving up the Slope of Enlightenment, will deliver transformation in terms of driving deep changes in the role and capabilities of IT. Finally, public virtual worlds, which are suffering from disillusionment after their peak of hype in 2007, will in the long term represent an important media channel to support and build broader communities of interest.”
So in one of my areas of interest, Gartner says that Web 2.0 has a good chance of achieving the promise that is currently seen as so much hype and so is likely to emerge out of the trough, when it does get there, fairly quickly. That’s good news.
There are a couple of very interesting new entrants for 2008, notably microblogging – think of Twitter, Friendfeed and the like – green IT and cloud computing, the latter especially at the heart of growing commentary and opinion, what some would undoubtedly call hype.
How does all this compare to what Gartner has been predicting in recent years?
Gartner, an IT industry analyst firm, has published a report on what its analysts see as the top […]
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IT industry analysts Gartner published their 2006 hype cycle for emerging technologies this week – their predictions on […]